Latest Time Map for October 2012

This is a new Time Map Video Briefing by Efrem Hoffman.  Please note the Key Levels plotted on this map along with the critical calendar dates that project the time lines for volatility to give expanded price ranges.  To access this map with detailed commentary by Efrem Hoffman,  CLICK HERE

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Sample News Update

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Market Risk Intelligence for the S&P 500 for Wednesday, September 5th, 2012

Nearby Time-Zones to pay particular Attention to — for Downside Price Rejection and Reversals coming off of any intra/inter-day up-spikes into key resistance zones given, as well as Acceleration of Downside Market Momentum and Price Range Expansion are:

possibly as early as: Sept 5th: 10:42AM to 3:00PM ; and

Sept 7th at 7:10AM to Close of Sept 10th;

Sept 10th: 1:15AM or 3:45AM to 10:45PM; and

especially on: Sept 12th 3:45AM to Sept 13th 10:45PM

_____________________________________________________________

Disclaimer: The content of this e-Mail is strictly for informational research purposes only. It is not a solicitation to buy and/or sell securities of any kind. This e-Mail content does not serve as an investment and/or trading recommendation or advisory.

From the Trading Research Desk of Efrem Hoffman: Market Risk Intelligence for the S&P 500 for Wednesday September, 5th, 2012

**** In the very near term, be on exceptionally high alert for a violent sell off in the IYF (In the event of a dead cat bounce, $57.09 to $57.18 is where bears will try to attack from above — $57.59 is strong overhead resistance) — Financial Select Index ETF — its influence on the S&P 500 Futures will be hard hitting with heavy down volume, especially when bear attack from below as price declines below $56.31 (for greater than 24 minutes).

Nearby Time-Zones to pay particular Attention to — for Downside Price Rejection and Reversals coming off of any intra/inter-day up-spikes into key resistance zones given, as well as Acceleration of Downside Market Momentum and Price Range Expansion are:

possibly as early as: Sept 5th: 10:42AM to 3:00PM ; and

Sept 7th at 7:10AM to Close of Sept 10th;

Sept 10th: 1:15AM or 3:45AM to 10:45PM; and

especially on: Sept 12th 3:45AM to Sept 13th 10:45PM (all corrections have been made)
Potential Near-by Resistance Levels Today (September S&P 500 e-Mini Futures Contract) , where Bears will put up a fight and reverse prices lower into Key Support:

First line of residual resistance where bears will try to put up a fight from yesterday is: 1408, 1409.75 to .50, 1409.00 to 1410, then 1411.00, 1411.75, 1412 to 1412.50, 1413 to 1413.75

First Line of Very Short Term Residual Support where bulls may try to hold up market (note: the focus is on selling any up-spikes into key resistance) is: 1400.50, 1399.50, 1398, 1397.25, 1396.75

Significant bear-attack today in the event of a strong news-driven up-spike will show up at Major Resistance zone of: 1416.50, 1417.50, 1418, 1418.75, 1419.75 ; with Major Support levels for S&P 500 Sept. Futures today: 1396.25, 1395, 1394, 1393.50, 1393.25 (significant price rejection on dead cat bounces in the IYF is the primary threat to the S&P 500 futures from now into mid September.
Market Intelligence for Wednesday, September 5th, 2012 — Be on high alert for a more dramatic range expansion starting into mid September (off of any intra/inter-day retracements into resistance — stay tuned for updates on NakedSwanTrading.com’s Market Trackers Feeds & Twitter Handle @: NakedSwanTrader): The Bottom Line is to Fade all intraday / interday up-spikes into key resistance areas, and watch VXX Volatility ETF for a push above 12.25, as this will indicate a further acceleration in near-term downside market action. Upspikes in the Euro recently are no longer giving a tail-wind to the S&P — as evidenced since the S&P’s price rejection on Aug 21st Bearish Key Reversal Day — right near critical year high resistance — suggesting signs of market vulnerability, especially when combined with market complacency, as indicated by the extremely low VXX levels. The future expectation of volatility as represented by the VXX, is likely to spike in earnest into September and again in October. Stay tuned on our Twitter feed at: NakedSwanTrader for further details and updated Volatility Storm Warning(s) (VSW).

NOTE: Furthermore, as you can see on NakedSwanTrading.com ‘s proprietary Color-Coded Time Map of Price Range Structure with Key Support and Resistance (created on Aug 17th, as sent out couple weeks ago, and included again as an attachment on Aug 30th, 2012 — levels are still relevant, and market action of late show the forward-looking nature of the non-linear bands of big-picture support and resistance on these Time-Maps) the market price has been oscillating with increased range between the upper black and the upper navy band. Take note that the separation between the bands increase going into mid September, so therefore, you should expect the range of price movement to further expand. Thereby offering increased trading opportunities with incrementally higher reward to risk ratios.

Note: We continue to be in an R-5 (Reinforcement-5) Index Market Time Window from now through September — that means that 5 groups of traders on different time horizons up to and including the 480 minute chart will be simultaneously selling into key resistance — leading to intense price rejection and reinforced selling waves off of any inter-day market up-spikes. Fading up-spikes is the bottom line — volume activity is currently set up to strongly favor downside volume. The R-Index levels greater than 3 are considered strong. R-5′s and higher are very significant. R-9 was the highest level recorded — 1929 market crash. But starting next year, the long range price momentum structures across a wide scope of trader and investor time-frames are showing an event greater than R-9, indicating a period of unprecedented market turbulence for several years to come.

Live Market Intelligence Webinars will be held throughout the upcoming period to alert premium subscribers of the impending events. We will also planning to host on-line forums with industry partners and media throughout the fall and winter months with regard to the developing market situation — special invitations will be sent out to our Linked-In Network of Industry Professionals — To stay in the loop, you are welcome to follow Efrem Hoffman on Linked-In, and sign-up at NakedSwanTrading.com.

Potential Intermediate Resistance Levels: 1421.25, 1422.50, 1423.75, 1424.50

Potential Longer Term Overhead Resistance Levels into Mid September: 1426 to 1426.75, 1428, 1432.75 (market at high risk for a pullback to 1380 to 1376.50/1375.50 before potential of sustained upside action into the upper ceiling. The risk are clearly to the downside now, and the focus on each daily update should be to fade any intra / inter day up-spikes that occur into nearby resistance levels, as indicated in the second main paragraph of this market memo.

The bottom line is to short on any up-spikes into each of the above key resistance levels — , and look for additional trader groups with longer holding periods and increased position size to enter market when price trades below 1394.00 esp on a 233 min bar basis, and especially when price trades below critical support zone of (1392.75 to1390.50 — for greater than 70 minutes), then 1388.75, 1386, 1385.50 to 1385, followed by 1383.50, 1382.25, 1381.25, 1378.50, 1378. 1377.75, 1376.50 to 1375.50. Note: 1385.75 to 1382.75 is first major zone where bulls will put up a fight once prices are below 1394 level (as indicated above). Going into mid September, the lower levels given above are where bears will try to claw there way down.

Longer-Term Major Downside Price Levels in the event of a News-Driven Volatility Event and Price Spike are: 1371.50, 1369, 1365.75, 1363.75 to 1362, 1358, 1344.25, 1349.75

Relevant Time-Frames to Overlay your Indicators: The longer-term up-trend has extended far enough (in both time and price) that the natural point of balance to restore market energy will be dominated by bears trying to take control of momentum on time-frames up to and including the 480 minute chart. The relevant trader time frames of focus for monitoring selling pressure toward a zero momentum crossing point — for this price momentum structure — are the: 70 minute and 43 minute charts.

The bottom Line is that we are in a dangerous period now, where violent market down-spikes will continue to grow with increasingly higher down-volume compared to up-volume. To best monitor the volume levels, it is suggested that users follow the relevant time frames given — otherwise you will be comparing Apples to Oranges.

As discussed in prior updates, the VXX ( The flagship ETF reflecting short term future volatility expectations) continues to show signs that price range expansion and price persistence on breakout are starting to come back into market for an extended period. Base building in the VXX has been taking place on the 8, 13, 21, and 34 minute charts — indicating that a powerful volatility spike is on the way — Stay on high alert during the entire fall and winter period, starting now. All up-spikes in the index should especially be incrementally sold with higher conviction position levels in the event of any near term weakness in the VXX. The continued strength in the Euro, as anticipated several weeks ago is attempting to build momentum to attack the June highs — but the S&P 500 has stalled out — and is now actually forming cracks and/or breaking down — particularly if you peer into many of the sectors that have been performing strong of most of the year. As previously forecasted, the only high conviction area that especially show signs of strength is Silver, which has already advanced quite sharply, and will likely continue to get a tail-wind from in the continued relative strength in the Euro — with potential upside back toward the June 2012 highs.

NOTE: Furthermore, as you can see on NakedSwanTrading’s proprietary Color-Coded Time Map of Price Range Structure with Key Support and Resistance (created on Aug 17th, as sent out couple weeks ago, and included again as an attachment in this e-Mail — levels are still relevant, and market action of late show the forward-looking nature of the non-linear bands of big-picture support and resistance on these Time-Maps) the market price has been oscillating with increased range between the upper black and the upper navy band. Take note that the separation between the bands increase going into mid September, so therefore, you should expect the range of price movement to further expand. Thereby, offering increased trading opportunities with incrementally higher reward to risk ratios.

Note: volume activity is currently set up to strongly favor downside volume, particularly pronounced when price reverses off of any inter / intra-day up-spike retracements, and as prices continue to blow through recent lows in the upcoming period.

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Market Risk Intelligence for the S&P 500 for Tuesday, September, 4th, 2012

**** In the very near term, be on exceptionally high alert for a violent sell off in the IYF (In the event of a dead cat bounce, $57.09 to $57.18 is where bears will try to attack from above — $57.59 is strong overhead resistance) — Financial Select Index ETF — its influence on the S&P 500 Futures will be hard hitting with heavy down volume, especially when bear attack from below as price declines below $56.31 (for greater than 24 minutes).

Potential Near-by Resistance Levels Today (September S&P 500 e-Mini Futures Contract) , where Bears will put up a fight and reverse prices lower into Key Support: first line of resistance is: 1408.50, 1409.00 to 1409.50, 1410, 1411.00 to 1411.50, 1412, 1412.75 to 1413, 1413.75, 1416.50, 1418, 1418.75, 1419.75 (significant bear attack today in the event of a news-driven up-spike to this level); with Support levels for S&P 500 Sept. Futures today: 1398.25 to 1397.75, 1394, 1393.25 (significant price rejection on dead cat bounces in the IYF is the primary threat to the S&P 500 futures from now into mid September.
Market Intelligence for Tuesday, September 4th, 2012 — Be on high alert for a more dramatic range expansion starting into mid September (off of any intra/inter-day retracements into resistance — stay tuned for updates on NakedSwanTrading.com’s Market Trackers Feeds & Twitter Handle @: NakedSwanTrader): The Bottom Line is to Fade all intraday / interday up-spikes into key resistance areas, and watch VXX Volatility ETF for a push above 12.25, as this will indicate a further acceleration in near-term downside market action. Upspikes in the Euro recently are no longer giving a tail-wind to the S&P — as evidenced since the S&P’s price rejection on Aug 21st Bearish Key Reversal Day — right near critical year high resistance — suggesting signs of market vulnerability, especially when combined with market complacency, as indicated by the extremely low VXX levels. The future expectation of volatility as represented by the VXX, is likely to spike in earnest into September and again in October. Stay tuned on our Twitter feed at: NakedSwanTrader for further details and updated Volatility Storm Warning(s) (VSW).

NOTE: Furthermore, as you can see on NakedSwanTrading.com ‘s proprietary Color-Coded Time Map of Price Range Structure with Key Support and Resistance (created on Aug 17th, as sent out couple weeks ago, and included again as an attachment on Aug 30th, 2012 — levels are still relevant, and market action of late show the forward-looking nature of the non-linear bands of big-picture support and resistance on these Time-Maps) the market price has been oscillating with increased range between the upper black and the upper navy band. Take note that the separation between the bands increase going into mid September, so therefore, you should expect the range of price movement to further expand. Thereby offering increased trading opportunities with incrementally higher reward to risk ratios.

Note: We continue to be in an R-5 (Reinforcement-5) Index Market Time Window from now through September — that means that 5 groups of traders on different time horizons up to and including the 480 minute chart will be simultaneously selling into key resistance — leading to intense price rejection and reinforced selling waves off of any inter-day market up-spikes. Fading up-spikes is the bottom line — volume activity is currently set up to strongly favor downside volume. The R-Index levels greater than 3 are considered strong. R-5′s and higher are very significant. R-9 was the highest level recorded — 1929 market crash. But starting next year, the long range price momentum structures across a wide scope of trader and investor time-frames are showing an event greater than R-9, indicating a period of unprecedented market turbulence for several years to come.

Live Market Intelligence Webinars will be held throughout the upcoming period to alert premium subscribers of the impending events. We will also planning to host on-line forums with industry partners and media throughout the fall and winter months with regard to the developing market situation — special invitations will be sent out to our Linked-In Network of Industry Professionals — To stay in the loop, you are welcome to follow Efrem Hoffman on Linked-In, and sign-up at NakedSwanTrading.com.

Potential Intermediate Resistance Levels: 1420, 1421 to 1421.25, 1422, 1423.75, 1424.50

Potential Longer Term Overhead Resistance Levels into Mid September: 1426 to 1426.75, 1428, 1432.75 (market at high risk for a pullback to 1380 to 1376.50/1375.50 before potential of sustained upside action into the upper ceiling. The risk are clearly to the downside now, and the focus on each daily update should be to fade any intra / inter day up-spikes that occur into nearby resistance levels, as indicated in the second main paragraph of this market memo.

The bottom line is to short on any up-spikes into each of the above key resistance levels — , and look for a downdraft to ensue, and pick up steam below the 1400, 1394 level (on a 233 minute bar basis).

Downside pressure is on below 1400 level; when price trades below 1394.00 esp on a 233 min bar basis then interim downdraft starts out when prices trade below (1392.75 and especially below 1390.50 — for greater than 70 minutes), then 1388.75, 1386, 1385.50 to 1385, followed by 1383.50, 1382.25, 1381.25, 1378.50, 1378. 1377.75, 1376.50 to 1375.50. Note: 1385.75 to 1382.75 is first major zone where bulls will put up a fight once prices are below 1394 level (as indicated above). Going into early September, the lower levels given above are where bears will try to claw there way down.

Longer-Term Major Downside Price Levels in the event of a News-Driven Volatility Event and Price Spike are: 1371.50, 1369, 1365.75, 1363.75 to 1362, 1358, 1344.25, 1349.75

Relevant Time-Frames to Overlay your Indicators: The longer-term up-trend has extended far enough (in both time and price) that the natural point of balance to restore market energy will be dominated by bears trying to take control of momentum on time-frames up to and including the 480 minute chart. The relevant trader time frames of focus for monitoring selling pressure toward a zero momentum crossing point — for this price momentum structure — are the: 70 minute and 43 minute charts.

The bottom Line is that we are in a dangerous period now, where violent market down-spikes will continue to grow with increasingly higher down-volume compared to up-volume. To best monitor the volume levels, it is suggested that users follow the relevant time frames given — otherwise you will be comparing Apples to Oranges.

As discussed in prior updates, the VXX ( The flagship ETF reflecting short term future volatility expectations) continues to show signs that price range expansion and price persistence on breakout are starting to come back into market for an extended period. Base building in the VXX has been taking place on the 8, 13, 21, and 34 minute charts — indicating that a powerful volatility spike is on the way — Stay on high alert during the entire fall and winter period, starting now. All up-spikes in the index should especially be incrementally sold with higher conviction position levels in the event of any near term weakness in the VXX. The continued strength in the Euro, as anticipated several weeks ago is attempting to build momentum to attack the June highs — but the S&P 500 has stalled out — and is now actually forming cracks and/or breaking down — particularly if you peer into many of the sectors that have been performing strong of most of the year. As previously forecasted, the only high conviction area that especially show signs of strength is Silver, which has already advanced quite sharply, and will likely continue to get a tail-wind from in the continued relative strength in the Euro — with potential upside back toward the June 2012 highs.

NOTE: Furthermore, as you can see on NakedSwanTrading’s proprietary Color-Coded Time Map of Price Range Structure with Key Support and Resistance (created on Aug 17th, as sent out couple weeks ago, and included again as an attachment in this e-Mail — levels are still relevant, and market action of late show the forward-looking nature of the non-linear bands of big-picture support and resistance on these Time-Maps) the market price has been oscillating with increased range between the upper black and the upper navy band. Take note that the separation between the bands increase going into mid September, so therefore, you should expect the range of price movement to further expand. Thereby, offering increased trading opportunities with incrementally higher reward to risk ratios.

Note: volume activity is currently set up to strongly favor downside volume, particularly pronounced when price reverses off of any inter / intra-day up-spike retracements, and as prices continue to blow through recent lows in the upcoming period.

Disclaimer: The content of this e-Mail is strictly for informational research purposes only. It is not a solicitation to buy and/or sell securities of any kind. This e-Mail content does not serve as an investment and/or trading recommendation or advisory.

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Time Map for the S&P 500 Futures for August into September Period

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